483. The case for replacing live oral polio vaccine with inactivated vaccine in the Americas.
作者: Jorge A Alfaro-Murillo.;Marí L Ávila-Agüero.;Meagan C Fitzpatrick.;Caroline J Crystal.;Luiza-Helena Falleiros-Arlant.;Alison P Galvani.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10230期1163-1166页 484. Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.
Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia develops in both children and adults, with a peak incidence between 1 year and 4 years. Most acute lymphoblastic leukaemia arises in healthy individuals, and predisposing factors such as inherited genetic susceptibility or environmental exposure have been identified in only a few patients. It is characterised by chromosomal abnormalities and genetic alterations involved in differentiation and proliferation of lymphoid precursor cells. Along with response to treatment, these abnormalities are important prognostic factors. Disease-risk stratification and the development of intensified chemotherapy protocols substantially improves the outcome of patients with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, particularly in children (1-14 years), but also in adolescents and young adults (15-39 years). However, the outcome of older adults (≥40 years) and patients with relapsed or refractory acute lymphoblastic leukaemia remains poor. New immunotherapeutic strategies, such as monoclonal antibodies and chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cells, are being developed and over the next few years could change the options for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia treatment.
485. Fangcang shelter hospitals: a novel concept for responding to public health emergencies.
作者: Simiao Chen.;Zongjiu Zhang.;Juntao Yang.;Jian Wang.;Xiaohui Zhai.;Till Bärnighausen.;Chen Wang.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10232期1305-1314页
Fangcang shelter hospitals are a novel public health concept. They were implemented for the first time in China in February, 2020, to tackle the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. The Fangcang shelter hospitals in China were large-scale, temporary hospitals, rapidly built by converting existing public venues, such as stadiums and exhibition centres, into health-care facilities. They served to isolate patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 from their families and communities, while providing medical care, disease monitoring, food, shelter, and social activities. We document the development of Fangcang shelter hospitals during the COVID-19 outbreak in China and explain their three key characteristics (rapid construction, massive scale, and low cost) and five essential functions (isolation, triage, basic medical care, frequent monitoring and rapid referral, and essential living and social engagement). Fangcang shelter hospitals could be powerful components of national responses to the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as future epidemics and public health emergencies.
486. Small molecules, big impact: 20 years of targeted therapy in oncology.
作者: Philippe L Bedard.;David M Hyman.;Matthew S Davids.;Lillian L Siu.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10229期1078-1088页
The identification of molecular targets and the growing knowledge of their cellular functions have led to the development of small molecule inhibitors as a major therapeutic class for cancer treatment. Both multitargeted and highly selective kinase inhibitors are used for the treatment of advanced treatment-resistant cancers, and many have also achieved regulatory approval for early clinical settings as adjuvant therapies or as first-line options for recurrent or metastatic disease. Lessons learned from the development of these agents can accelerate the development of next-generation inhibitors to optimise the therapeutic index, overcome drug resistance, and establish combination therapies. The future of small molecule inhibitors is promising as there is the potential to investigate novel difficult-to-drug targets, to apply predictive non-clinical models to select promising drug candidates for human evaluation, and to use dynamic clinical trial interventions with liquid biopsies to deliver precision medicine.
487. Generating comparative evidence on new drugs and devices after approval.
作者: Andrea Cipriani.;John P A Ioannidis.;Peter M Rothwell.;Paul Glasziou.;Tianjing Li.;Adrian F Hernandez.;Anneka Tomlinson.;John Simes.;Huseyin Naci.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10228期998-1010页
Certain limitations of evidence available on drugs and devices at the time of market approval often persist in the post-marketing period. Often, post-marketing research landscape is fragmented. When regulatory agencies require pharmaceutical and device manufacturers to conduct studies in the post-marketing period, these studies might remain incomplete many years after approval. Even when completed, many post-marketing studies lack meaningful active comparators, have observational designs, and might not collect patient-relevant outcomes. Regulators, in collaboration with the industry and patients, ought to ensure that the key questions unanswered at the time of drug and device approval are resolved in a timely fashion during the post-marketing phase. We propose a set of seven key guiding principles that we believe will provide the necessary incentives for pharmaceutical and device manufacturers to generate comparative data in the post-marketing period. First, regulators (for drugs and devices), notified bodies (for devices in Europe), health technology assessment organisations, and payers should develop customised evidence generation plans, ensuring that future post-approval studies address any limitations of the data available at the time of market entry impacting the benefit-risk profiles of drugs and devices. Second, post-marketing studies should be designed hierarchically: priority should be given to efforts aimed at evaluating a product's net clinical benefit in randomised trials compared with current known effective therapy, whenever possible, to address common decisional dilemmas. Third, post-marketing studies should incorporate active comparators as appropriate. Fourth, use of non-randomised studies for the evaluation of clinical benefit in the post-marketing period should be limited to instances when the magnitude of effect is deemed to be large or when it is possible to reasonably infer the comparative benefits or risks in settings, in which doing a randomised trial is not feasible. Fifth, efficiency of randomised trials should be improved by streamlining patient recruitment and data collection through innovative design elements. Sixth, governments should directly support and facilitate the production of comparative post-marketing data by investing in the development of collaborative research networks and data systems that reduce the complexity, cost, and waste of rigorous post-marketing research efforts. Last, financial incentives and penalties should be developed or more actively reinforced.
488. Generating comparative evidence on new drugs and devices before approval.
作者: Huseyin Naci.;Maximilian Salcher-Konrad.;Aaron S Kesselheim.;Beate Wieseler.;Lise Rochaix.;Rita F Redberg.;Georgia Salanti.;Emily Jackson.;Sarah Garner.;T Scott Stroup.;Andrea Cipriani.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10228期986-997页
Fewer than half of new drugs have data on their comparative benefits and harms against existing treatment options at the time of regulatory approval in Europe and the USA. Even when active-comparator trials exist, they might not produce meaningful data to inform decisions in clinical practice and health policy. The uncertainty associated with the paucity of well designed active-comparator trials has been compounded by legal and regulatory changes in Europe and the USA that have created a complex mix of expedited programmes aimed at facilitating faster access to new drugs. Comparative evidence generation is even sparser for medical devices. Some have argued that the current process for regulatory approval needs to generate more evidence that is useful for patients, clinicians, and payers in health-care systems. We propose a set of five key principles relevant to the European Medicines Agency, European medical device regulatory agencies, US Food and Drug Administration, as well as payers, that we believe will provide the necessary incentives for pharmaceutical and device companies to generate comparative data on drugs and devices and assure timely availability of evidence that is useful for decision making. First, labelling should routinely inform patients and clinicians whether comparative data exist on new products. Second, regulators should be more selective in their use of programmes that facilitate drug and device approvals on the basis of incomplete benefit and harm data. Third, regulators should encourage the conduct of randomised trials with active comparators. Fourth, regulators should use prospectively designed network meta-analyses based on existing and future randomised trials. Last, payers should use their policy levers and negotiating power to incentivise the generation of comparative evidence on new and existing drugs and devices, for example, by explicitly considering proven added benefit in pricing and payment decisions.
489. The risk of tuberculosis in children after close exposure: a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis.
作者: Leonardo Martinez.;Olivia Cords.;C Robert Horsburgh.;Jason R Andrews.; .
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10228期973-984页
Tens of millions of children are exposed to Mycobacterium tuberculosis globally every year; however, there are no contemporary estimates of the risk of developing tuberculosis in exposed children. The effectiveness of contact investigations and preventive therapy remains poorly understood.
490. COVID-19 and Italy: what next?
The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has already taken on pandemic proportions, affecting over 100 countries in a matter of weeks. A global response to prepare health systems worldwide is imperative. Although containment measures in China have reduced new cases by more than 90%, this reduction is not the case elsewhere, and Italy has been particularly affected. There is now grave concern regarding the Italian national health system's capacity to effectively respond to the needs of patients who are infected and require intensive care for SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. The percentage of patients in intensive care reported daily in Italy between March 1 and March 11, 2020, has consistently been between 9% and 11% of patients who are actively infected. The number of patients infected since Feb 21 in Italy closely follows an exponential trend. If this trend continues for 1 more week, there will be 30 000 infected patients. Intensive care units will then be at maximum capacity; up to 4000 hospital beds will be needed by mid-April, 2020. Our analysis might help political leaders and health authorities to allocate enough resources, including personnel, beds, and intensive care facilities, to manage the situation in the next few days and weeks. If the Italian outbreak follows a similar trend as in Hubei province, China, the number of newly infected patients could start to decrease within 3-4 days, departing from the exponential trend. However, this cannot currently be predicted because of differences between social distancing measures and the capacity to quickly build dedicated facilities in China.
491. Eating disorders.
Eating disorders are disabling, deadly, and costly mental disorders that considerably impair physical health and disrupt psychosocial functioning. Disturbed attitudes towards weight, body shape, and eating play a key role in the origin and maintenance of eating disorders. Eating disorders have been increasing over the past 50 years and changes in the food environment have been implicated. All health-care providers should routinely enquire about eating habits as a component of overall health assessment. Six main feeding and eating disorders are now recognised in diagnostic systems: anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, binge eating disorder, avoidant-restrictive food intake disorder, pica, and rumination disorder. The presentation form of eating disorders might vary for men versus women, for example. As eating disorders are under-researched, there is a great deal of uncertainty as to their pathophysiology, treatment, and management. Future challenges, emerging treatments, and outstanding research questions are addressed.
492. Considerations and methods for placebo controls in surgical trials (ASPIRE guidelines).
作者: David J Beard.;Marion K Campbell.;Jane M Blazeby.;Andrew J Carr.;Charles Weijer.;Brian H Cuthbertson.;Rachelle Buchbinder.;Thomas Pinkney.;Felicity L Bishop.;Jonathan Pugh.;Sian Cousins.;Ian A Harris.;L Stefan Lohmander.;Natalie Blencowe.;Katie Gillies.;Pascal Probst.;Carol Brennan.;Andrew Cook.;Dair Farrar-Hockley.;Julian Savulescu.;Richard Huxtable.;Amar Rangan.;Irene Tracey.;Peter Brocklehurst.;Manuela L Ferreira.;Jon Nicholl.;Barnaby C Reeves.;Freddie Hamdy.;Samuel Cs Rowley.;Jonathan A Cook.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10226期828-838页
Placebo comparisons are increasingly being considered for randomised trials assessing the efficacy of surgical interventions. The aim of this Review is to provide a summary of knowledge on placebo controls in surgical trials. A placebo control is a complex type of comparison group in the surgical setting and, although powerful, presents many challenges. This Review outlines what a placebo control entails and present understanding of this tool in the context of surgery. We consider when placebo controls in surgery are acceptable (and when they are desirable) in terms of ethical arguments and regulatory requirements, how a placebo control should be designed, how to identify and mitigate risk for participants in these trials, and how such trials should be done and interpreted. Use of placebo controls is justified in randomised controlled trials of surgical interventions provided there is a strong scientific and ethical rationale. Surgical placebos might be most appropriate when there is poor evidence for the efficacy of the procedure and a justified concern that results of a trial would be associated with high risk of bias, particularly because of the placebo effect. Feasibility work is recommended to optimise the design and implementation of randomised controlled trials. This Review forms an outline for best practice and provides guidance, in the form of the Applying Surgical Placebo in Randomised Evaluations (known as ASPIRE) checklist, for those considering the use of a placebo control in a surgical randomised controlled trial.
493. Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors for hormone receptor-positive breast cancer: past, present, and future.
作者: Laura M Spring.;Seth A Wander.;Fabrice Andre.;Beverly Moy.;Nicholas C Turner.;Aditya Bardia.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10226期817-827页
The development and approval of cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4 and 6 inhibitors for hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative metastatic breast cancer represents a major milestone in cancer therapeutics. Three different oral CDK4/6 inhibitors, palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib, have significantly improved progression-free survival by a number of months when combined with endocrine therapy. More recently, improvement in overall survival has been reported with ribociclib and abemaciclib. The toxicity profile of all three drugs is well described and generally easily manageable with dose reductions when indicated. More myelotoxicity is observed with palbociclib and ribociclib, but more gastrointestinal toxicity is observed with abemaciclib. Emerging data is shedding light on the resistance mechanisms associated with CDK4/6 inhibitors, including cell cycle alterations and activation of upstream tyrosine kinase receptors. A number of clinical trials are exploring several important questions regarding treatment sequencing, combinatorial strategies, and the use of CDK4/6 inhibitors in the adjuvant and neoadjuvant settings, thereby further expanding and refining the clinical application of CDK4/6 inhibitors for patients with breast cancer.
494. Middle East respiratory syndrome.
作者: Ziad A Memish.;Stanley Perlman.;Maria D Van Kerkhove.;Alimuddin Zumla.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10229期1063-1077页
The Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a lethal zoonotic pathogen that was first identified in humans in Saudi Arabia and Jordan in 2012. Intermittent sporadic cases, community clusters, and nosocomial outbreaks of MERS-CoV continue to occur. Between April 2012 and December 2019, 2499 laboratory-confirmed cases of MERS-CoV infection, including 858 deaths (34·3% mortality) were reported from 27 countries to WHO, the majority of which were reported by Saudi Arabia (2106 cases, 780 deaths). Large outbreaks of human-to-human transmission have occurred, the largest in Riyadh and Jeddah in 2014 and in South Korea in 2015. MERS-CoV remains a high-threat pathogen identified by WHO as a priority pathogen because it causes severe disease that has a high mortality rate, epidemic potential, and no medical countermeasures. This Seminar provides an update on the current knowledge and perspectives on MERS epidemiology, virology, mode of transmission, pathogenesis, diagnosis, clinical features, management, infection control, development of new therapeutics and vaccines, and highlights unanswered questions and priorities for research, improved management, and prevention.
495. Epilepsy in older people.
Globally, as populations age there will be challenges and opportunities to deliver optimal health care to senior citizens. Epilepsy, a condition characterised by spontaneous recurrent seizures, is common in older adults (aged >65 years) and yet has received comparatively little attention in this age group. In this Review, we evaluate the underlying causes of epilepsy in older people, explore difficulties in establishing a diagnosis of epilepsy in this population, discuss appropriate antiseizure medications, and evaluate potential surgical treatment options. We consider cognitive, psychological, and psychosocial comorbidities and the effect that epilepsy might have on an older person's broader social or care network in high-income versus middle-income and low-income countries. We emphasise the need for clinical trials to be more inclusive of older people with epilepsy to help inform therapeutic decision making and discuss whether measures to improve vascular risk factors might be an important strategy to reduce the probability of developing epilepsy.
496. The psychological impact of quarantine and how to reduce it: rapid review of the evidence.
作者: Samantha K Brooks.;Rebecca K Webster.;Louise E Smith.;Lisa Woodland.;Simon Wessely.;Neil Greenberg.;Gideon James Rubin.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10227期912-920页
The December, 2019 coronavirus disease outbreak has seen many countries ask people who have potentially come into contact with the infection to isolate themselves at home or in a dedicated quarantine facility. Decisions on how to apply quarantine should be based on the best available evidence. We did a Review of the psychological impact of quarantine using three electronic databases. Of 3166 papers found, 24 are included in this Review. Most reviewed studies reported negative psychological effects including post-traumatic stress symptoms, confusion, and anger. Stressors included longer quarantine duration, infection fears, frustration, boredom, inadequate supplies, inadequate information, financial loss, and stigma. Some researchers have suggested long-lasting effects. In situations where quarantine is deemed necessary, officials should quarantine individuals for no longer than required, provide clear rationale for quarantine and information about protocols, and ensure sufficient supplies are provided. Appeals to altruism by reminding the public about the benefits of quarantine to wider society can be favourable.
497. A future for the world's children? A WHO-UNICEF-Lancet Commission.
作者: Helen Clark.;Awa Marie Coll-Seck.;Anshu Banerjee.;Stefan Peterson.;Sarah L Dalglish.;Shanthi Ameratunga.;Dina Balabanova.;Maharaj Kishan Bhan.;Zulfiqar A Bhutta.;John Borrazzo.;Mariam Claeson.;Tanya Doherty.;Fadi El-Jardali.;Asha S George.;Angela Gichaga.;Lu Gram.;David B Hipgrave.;Aku Kwamie.;Qingyue Meng.;Raúl Mercer.;Sunita Narain.;Jesca Nsungwa-Sabiiti.;Adesola O Olumide.;David Osrin.;Timothy Powell-Jackson.;Kumanan Rasanathan.;Imran Rasul.;Papaarangi Reid.;Jennifer Requejo.;Sarah S Rohde.;Nigel Rollins.;Magali Romedenne.;Harshpal Singh Sachdev.;Rana Saleh.;Yusra R Shawar.;Jeremy Shiffman.;Jonathon Simon.;Peter D Sly.;Karin Stenberg.;Mark Tomlinson.;Rajani R Ved.;Anthony Costello.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10224期605-658页 499. Improving the prognosis of health care in the USA.
作者: Alison P Galvani.;Alyssa S Parpia.;Eric M Foster.;Burton H Singer.;Meagan C Fitzpatrick.
来源: Lancet. 2020年395卷10223期524-533页
Although health care expenditure per capita is higher in the USA than in any other country, more than 37 million Americans do not have health insurance, and 41 million more have inadequate access to care. Efforts are ongoing to repeal the Affordable Care Act which would exacerbate health-care inequities. By contrast, a universal system, such as that proposed in the Medicare for All Act, has the potential to transform the availability and efficiency of American health-care services. Taking into account both the costs of coverage expansion and the savings that would be achieved through the Medicare for All Act, we calculate that a single-payer, universal health-care system is likely to lead to a 13% savings in national health-care expenditure, equivalent to more than US$450 billion annually (based on the value of the US$ in 2017). The entire system could be funded with less financial outlay than is incurred by employers and households paying for health-care premiums combined with existing government allocations. This shift to single-payer health care would provide the greatest relief to lower-income households. Furthermore, we estimate that ensuring health-care access for all Americans would save more than 68 000 lives and 1·73 million life-years every year compared with the status quo.
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