3020. The future of life expectancy and life expectancy inequalities in England and Wales: Bayesian spatiotemporal forecasting.
作者: James E Bennett.;Guangquan Li.;Kyle Foreman.;Nicky Best.;Vasilis Kontis.;Clare Pearson.;Peter Hambly.;Majid Ezzati.
来源: Lancet. 2015年386卷9989期163-70页
To plan for pensions and health and social services, future mortality and life expectancy need to be forecast. Consistent forecasts for all subnational units within a country are very rare. Our aim was to forecast mortality and life expectancy for England and Wales' districts.
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